Vantage-6
Append-onlyEvery prediction on this page was frozen the moment it was logged. Database triggers block edits and deletes, so what you see is what was claimed at the time, graded against what actually happened.
Watch an idea walk the journey →This instrument is still earning its track record: 24 of the 100 resolved predictions needed before its calibration curve means anything. Until then, treat every open prediction as an uncalibrated hypothesis. We publish anyway, because the grading has to be public to count.
Anyone can send one in. No account, no charge. It gets the same treatment as everything else on this page.
Send in an idea, a product, a service, anything. It runs through the same five gates and six dimensions BLDG LABS uses on its own work, live, k=3 model runs. If it survives, a falsifiable prediction with your idea's name on it joins the ledger above, permanently, and you'll watch it happen on the journey.
Predictions
402
frozen at log time
Resolved
24
0 unresolvable
Open
378
0 due for grading
Mean Brier
0.084
0 perfect · 0.25 coin flip
When this system says 70%, does the thing happen about 70% of the time? Forecast average vs. actual rate, per confidence band.
| Band | N | Forecast avg | Actual rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| <20% | 1 | 12% | 0% |
| 20-40% | 0 | - | - |
| 40-60% | 3 | 49% | 33% |
| 60-80% | 3 | 70% | 67% |
| >80% | 17 | 90% | 100% |
Frozen odds never move. Where monitoring has found new evidence, the current rolling estimate is shown beside the original so you can see both what was claimed and what is known now.
Spreadsheet-to-DMS Data Migration & Cleanup Sidecar for Rental Dealers Rental/d
radar · logged Oct 8, 2026 · resolves by Apr 6, 2027
Will C.H. Robinson's $5.8B acquisition of RXO close by August 15, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 8, 2026 · resolves by Aug 15, 2027
Will Amadeus' €1.2 billion acquisition of Idemia Public Security close by August 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 8, 2026 · resolves by Aug 31, 2027
Will Digicel Group's sale of its El Salvador operations to GITES close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 8, 2026 · resolves by Jul 31, 2027
Will the first 400MW phase of the Matrix Data Center Campus come online by December 31, 2026 as targeted?
benchmark · logged Oct 8, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027
Custom Fleet Route-Plan Build Service
radar · logged Oct 7, 2026 · resolves by Apr 5, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on ImmunityBio's ANKTIVA + BCG sBLA (papillary NMIBC) by its January 6, 2027 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 7, 2026 · resolves by Feb 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Praxis Precision Medicines' ulixacaltamide (PRAX-944) for essential tremor by its January 29, 2027 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 7, 2026 · resolves by Mar 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Eagle Financial Services' merger of equals with John Marshall Bancorp close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 7, 2026 · resolves by May 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will CRH's $150/share (~$5.4B) acquisition of Arcosa close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 7, 2026 · resolves by May 15, 2027
ServiceBridge/ServiceTitan Duplicate-Record & Setup Cleanup Sidecar GCs and fie
radar · logged Oct 6, 2026 · resolves by Apr 4, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Mineralys Therapeutics' lorundrostat for uncontrolled/resistant hypertension by its December 22, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 6, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Corcept Therapeutics' relacorilant (GRACE resubmission) by its December 17, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 6, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Gilead's anitocabtagene autoleucel (anito-cel) by its December 23, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 6, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027
Will Rocket Lab's $8.0B acquisition of Iridium Communications close by mid-2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 6, 2026 · resolves by Aug 31, 2027
Human-in-Loop Dispatch Booking Desk for Small Trucking Fleets Small trucking co
radar · logged Oct 5, 2026 · resolves by Apr 3, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Texas Instruments' $231/share acquisition of Silicon Labs close by August 1, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 5, 2026 · resolves by Aug 1, 2027 · 3 evidence items
AI-Assisted Takeoff Bridge Contractor-for-Hire (Procore-Fluent) GCs posting job
radar · logged Oct 4, 2026 · resolves by Apr 2, 2027
Will Chime's $590 million acquisition of Stride Bank close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 4, 2026 · resolves by Jul 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Summit Therapeutics' ivonescimab (SMMT) combination therapy by its November 14, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026
Will the FDA decide on Cytokinetics' Aficamten (MAPLE-HCM) by its November 14, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Hormel's ~$1.055 billion acquisition of Brakebush close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 4, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Estimator-in-the-Loop Takeoff Assembly Desk for Niche Specialty Trades Specialt
radar · logged Oct 3, 2026 · resolves by Apr 1, 2027
Will Victory Capital's $7 billion acquisition of First Eagle close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 3, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will EverBank and WaFd Bank's $3.9 billion merger close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 3, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Skyworks Solutions' acquisition of Qorvo close by October 5, 2026?
benchmark · logged Oct 3, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the Paramount Skydance–Warner Bros. Discovery merger close by October 6, 2026?
benchmark · logged Oct 3, 2026 · resolves by Nov 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Crew Scheduling Sidecar for Small GCs
radar · logged Oct 2, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Flex's $4.4 billion acquisition of EPC Power close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 2, 2026 · resolves by Feb 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Texas Critical Data Centers' initial 100MW power capacity come online by December 2026 as targeted?
benchmark · logged Oct 2, 2026 · resolves by Feb 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Viatris' MR-107A-02 by its December 27, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 2, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will iRhythm's $287.5M acquisition of VitalConnect close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Oct 2, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027
Multi-System Inspection Scheduling & Invoice Assembly Sidecar for Appraisers/Ins
radar · logged Oct 1, 2026 · resolves by Mar 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will PolyPid's D-PLEX100 receive FDA approval leading to a commercial launch announcement by Azurity Pharmaceuticals before Q2 2027?
benchmark · logged Oct 1, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on GSK's Bepirovirsen by its October 26, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 1, 2026 · resolves by Nov 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Agios Pharmaceuticals' Mitapivat by its November 1, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 1, 2026 · resolves by Nov 20, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on BridgeBio's BBP-418 by its November 27, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Oct 1, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026
Fire Inspection Records Retainer for Departments
radar · logged Sep 30, 2026 · resolves by Mar 29, 2027
Will Merck KGaA's acquisition of Bio-Techne close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 30, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027
Will the Fennemore–Gallagher & Kennedy law firm merger become effective by December 1, 2026 as planned?
benchmark · logged Sep 30, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Telix Pharmaceuticals' $1.65 billion acquisition of ITM Isotope Technologies Munich close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 30, 2026 · resolves by Jul 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
EZ Home Inspection Refugee Report-Rescue Desk (Bulk Photo/Comment Cleanup) Inde
radar · logged Sep 29, 2026 · resolves by Mar 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Andersen Group close all four Q4-2026-targeted acquisitions (Mexico tax/legal firm, UK tax firm, and six U.S. consulting firms) by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 29, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Will Astound Broadband's merger with Google Fiber close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 29, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Priority Technology Holdings' $1.6 billion CEO-led go-private deal close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 29, 2026 · resolves by Apr 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Cloud Migration Assembly Sidecar for Tenant File / Legacy PM Software Holdouts
radar · logged Sep 28, 2026 · resolves by Mar 27, 2027
Will OpenAI's Project Camellia data center in Effingham County, Georgia break ground by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 28, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will PHINIA's ~$150 million acquisition of the stoba Group close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 28, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
HOA Manager Transparency Report (Financial Snapshot + Audit Trail PDF) HOA boar
radar · logged Sep 27, 2026 · resolves by Mar 26, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Sequence Holdings and DFO Management's $7.70 billion take-private of The Baldwin Group close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 27, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will West Virginia University Health System's acquisition of Independence Health System close by November 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 27, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Copart's acquisition of ACV Auctions close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 27, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
AppFolio Equipment Tracker Add-On
radar · logged Sep 26, 2026 · resolves by Mar 25, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will H.I.G. Capital's $866M acquisition of MISTRAS Group close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 26, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Vanda Pharmaceuticals' Quimilza BLA for GPP by its December 12, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 26, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
AI Dispatch Assembly Tool for Appliance/Trade Repair Shops
radar · logged Sep 25, 2026 · resolves by Mar 24, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will CloudBurst's first 50MW phase at its San Marcos, Texas gigawatt-scale data center campus go live by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 25, 2026 · resolves by Feb 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Supercell's acquisition of Metacore close by October 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 25, 2026 · resolves by Nov 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on PolyPid's D-PLEX100 NDA by its November 28, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 25, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Human-in-Loop Dispatch Desk for Small Trucking & Equipment Delivery Ops Small t
radar · logged Sep 24, 2026 · resolves by Mar 23, 2027
Will Bouygues Telecom, Free (Iliad), and Orange sign a definitive agreement to split Altice France's SFR by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 24, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Parker Hannifin's $2.55 billion acquisition of CIRCOR Aerospace close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 24, 2026 · resolves by Feb 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will NJFX's 10MW AI-ready data hall in Wall Township, NJ be completed by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 24, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Paramount Skydance's $31/share acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 24, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027
FSM Onboarding Rescue Retainer
radar · logged Sep 23, 2026 · resolves by Mar 22, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Boston Scientific's acquisition of Penumbra close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 23, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Nuveen's (TIAA) £9.9 billion acquisition of Schroders' asset management business close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 23, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
COI/ACORD Compliance Desk for Small Contractors and New Subs Both established c
radar · logged Sep 22, 2026 · resolves by Mar 21, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will LiveRamp Holdings' go-private merger close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 22, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Nscale's Loughton, Essex data center be available for use by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 22, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will McCormick's $44.8 billion acquisition of Unilever's foods business close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 22, 2026 · resolves by Apr 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Bulk Certified Payroll Report Download & Consolidation Sidecar for Points North
radar · logged Sep 21, 2026 · resolves by Mar 20, 2027
Will ReNew Energy Global's acquisition by the CanadaPension-led consortium close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 21, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Cintas's acquisition of UniFirst close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 21, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Roche's supplemental BLA for atezolizumab (Tecentriq) in stage III dMMR/MSI-H colon cancer by its October 9, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 21, 2026 · resolves by Nov 15, 2026 · 2 evidence items
Will ITC Federal's acquisition of Capgemini Government Solutions (forming ITC Digital Solutions) be fully completed and operational by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 21, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Certified Payroll Assembly Retainer for Davis-Bacon GCs on QuickBooks/ServiceTit
radar · logged Sep 20, 2026 · resolves by Mar 19, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Thoma Bravo's $4 billion take-private acquisition of Accelerant Holdings close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 20, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Safe Harbor Marinas' $1.5 billion acquisition of MarineMax close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 20, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Capricor Therapeutics' Deramiocel BLA for Duchenne muscular dystrophy by its November 22, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 20, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Axogen's $200 million acquisition of BioCircuit Technologies close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 20, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Restoration Project-Status Transparency Reports for Contractors
radar · logged Sep 19, 2026 · resolves by Mar 18, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Teledyne's $1.1B acquisition of Varex Imaging close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 19, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027
Will the U.S. Surface Transportation Board issue its final decision on the Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern merger by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 19, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Xactimate Estimate Assembly Desk for Restoration Contractors Restoration contra
radar · logged Sep 18, 2026 · resolves by Mar 17, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will construction begin on DC01UK's £4 billion AI-ready data center near London by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 18, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027
Will TeraWulf's new CB-5 building at the Lake Mariner data center campus in New York come online by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 18, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Repligen's Q4 2026 target for closing its acquisition of BioLife Solutions be met by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 18, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Xactimate Line-Item Reconciliation Add-On
radar · logged Sep 17, 2026 · resolves by Mar 16, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will a rival bidder submit a formal competing offer for Bodycote plc before Veritas Capital's acquisition closes?
benchmark · logged Sep 17, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Plus Automation Inc. (PlusAI) complete its business combination with Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 17, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will a Delaware Chancery Court block or delay the shareholder vote on Fox Corp's $22 billion acquisition of Roku?
benchmark · logged Sep 17, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Bernhard Capital Partners' $1.0B acquisition of Bowman Consulting Group close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 17, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Procore Sidecar: AI Data Entry for Estimates/Proposals
radar · logged Sep 16, 2026 · resolves by Mar 15, 2027
Will Texas Critical Data Centers receive its minor source air permit by January 15, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 16, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Texas Critical Data Centers begin site clearing work at its West Texas campus by November 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 16, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Scion Group and Ares Management complete their $435 million acquisition of the Schenk student housing portfolio by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 16, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
ConstructConnect Bid-Package Retainer for GCs
radar · logged Sep 15, 2026 · resolves by Mar 14, 2027
Will PACS Group complete its acquisition of all remaining Eduro Healthcare skilled nursing facilities by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 15, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 2 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Merck's ifinatamab deruxtecan (DS-7300) BLA for extensive-stage small cell lung cancer by its October 10, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 15, 2026 · resolves by Nov 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Roche's Tecentriq (atezolizumab) sNDA for stage III colon cancer by its October 9, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 15, 2026 · resolves by Nov 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Roche's Enspryng (satralizumab) for thyroid eye disease by its October 15, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 15, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026
Estimator Overflow Desk for GCs Who Outsource to Upwork GCs who currently pay U
radar · logged Sep 14, 2026 · resolves by Mar 13, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will NVIDIA's $12.9B acquisition of Hugging Face close by August 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 14, 2026 · resolves by Aug 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will GFL Environmental receive a formal take-private buyout offer by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 14, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Vertiv's ~$1.45B acquisition of Utility Innovation Holdings close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 14, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Voice-to-Report Dictation Layer for Independent Home Inspectors Independent hom
radar · logged Sep 13, 2026 · resolves by Mar 12, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Fluidstack's Cameron County, Texas AI data center campus obtain building permits (beyond the initial county worksite permit) by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 13, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will CRH's $150/share all-cash acquisition of Arcosa close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 13, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will AWS break ground on its up-to-$50 billion GovCloud/Top Secret data center expansion by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 13, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Manual Fire Sprinkler Layout & Life-Safety Plan Drafting Service Fire protectio
radar · logged Sep 12, 2026 · resolves by Mar 11, 2027
Will the FDA decide on Cytokinetics' aficamten sNDA (MAPLE-HCM) by its November 14, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 12, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Tomas Milmo Santos's tender offer to acquire full ownership of Axtel and Controladora Axtel close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 12, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Charlie Ergen's CONX Wireless Holdings SPAC complete its acquisition of a majority stake in MobileX by February 28, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 12, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve Agios' mitapivat (PYRUKYND) sNDA for sickle cell disease by its November 1, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 12, 2026 · resolves by Dec 1, 2026
EZ Home Inspection Software Refugee Migration Package Inspectors who are stuck
radar · logged Sep 11, 2026 · resolves by Mar 10, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve GSK's bepirovirsen NDA for chronic hepatitis B by its October 26, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 11, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will PayTabs complete its $100 million acquisition of Amazon Payment Services MENA by February 28, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 11, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Praxis Precision Medicines' ulixacaltamide NDA for Essential Tremor by its January 29, 2027 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 11, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Tata Motors complete its tender offer acquisition of Iveco Group by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 11, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
AppFolio/PM Document Intake & Onboarding Assembly Service Small property manage
radar · logged Sep 10, 2026 · resolves by Mar 9, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Veritas Capital's acquisition of Bodycote plc close by April 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 10, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the WaFd-EverBank $3.9 billion reverse merger close by April 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 10, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) clear the Cargotec-Konecranes merger by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 10, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA make its decision on Zlurgisertib for FOP by its September 26, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 10, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026
Compliance & Deadline Consolidation Sidecar for Small PM Companies Small-to-mid
radar · logged Sep 9, 2026 · resolves by Mar 8, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Aon's $17 billion acquisition of USI Insurance Services close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 9, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will HomeTrust Bancshares' $448.1 million acquisition of Blue Ridge Bankshares close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 9, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will construction begin on Arcem's first 60MW data center phase at Joroinen, Finland by February 28, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 9, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Francisco Partners' $650 million acquisition of Weave Communications close by February 28, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 9, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027
HOA Financial Oversight Snapshot Assessment
radar · logged Sep 8, 2026 · resolves by Mar 7, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the EigenQ-Silicon Valley Acquisition Corp business combination close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 8, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Praxis Precision Medicines' relutrigine NDA by its December 27, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Sep 8, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Simulations Plus's take-private merger close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 8, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Point of Rental Unpaid-Invoice Statement Sidecar
radar · logged Sep 7, 2026 · resolves by Mar 6, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Texas Instruments' acquisition of Silicon Labs close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 7, 2026 · resolves by Jul 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve PolyPid's D-PLEX100 NDA by its November 28, 2026 PDUFA goal date?
benchmark · logged Sep 7, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will PHINIA's acquisition of the stoba Group close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 7, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 2 evidence items
Point of Rental Switching Concierge & Alternative Evaluation Package Rental com
radar · logged Sep 6, 2026 · resolves by Mar 5, 2027 · 2 evidence items
Will the BlackRock (GIP)-EQT consortium's $33.4B acquisition of AES Corporation close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 6, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Paramount Skydance's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 6, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Equipment Hold-Stage Fleet Availability Tracker for Point of Rental Users Renta
radar · logged Sep 5, 2026 · resolves by Mar 4, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Northrim BanCorp's acquisition of PBCO Financial Corporation close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 5, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Repligen's acquisition of BioLife Solutions close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 5, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Supercell's acquisition of Metacore close by October 15, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 5, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
COI Expiration Chase Concierge for GCs
radar · logged Sep 4, 2026 · resolves by Mar 3, 2027
Will PowerHouse/Poe Companies' first Louisville, Kentucky data center building be operational by November 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 4, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will CloudBurst's first 50MW phase at its San Marcos, Texas data center campus go live by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 4, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Will First Financial Corporation's merger with First Illinois Corporation close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 4, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Contractor Compliance Bookkeeping Sidecar
radar · logged Sep 3, 2026 · resolves by Mar 2, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Boston Scientific's $14.5B acquisition of Penumbra close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 3, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Parker-Hannifin's $2.55B acquisition of CIRCOR Aerospace close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 3, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Audit-Trail COI Compliance Log Builder for GCs GCs above the 25-50 vendor thres
radar · logged Sep 2, 2026 · resolves by Mar 1, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Paramount Skydance's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 2, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027
Will Cintas' acquisition of UniFirst close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Sep 2, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will a US federal court issue a preliminary injunction blocking the Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 2, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Human-in-Loop Takeoff-Assisted Estimate Structuring for Freelance-Dependent GCs
radar · logged Sep 1, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Toyota's solid-state battery pilot production line in Japan begin operation by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 1, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Will the UK government approve final planning permission for the Sizewell C nuclear power station's next major construction phase by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 1, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Will Ferguson Enterprises' $1.6B acquisition of FWI Holdings close by October 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Sep 1, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
PDF/Excel-to-Procore Schedule Import Bridge
radar · logged Aug 31, 2026 · resolves by Feb 27, 2027
Will the European Commission approve or block Nvidia's pending investment/partnership deal with a major European AI cloud provider by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 31, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Amazon's planned nuclear-powered data center project with Talen Energy in Pennsylvania receive final NRC approval by June 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 31, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the US FTC finalize a decision on the Kroger-Albertsons merger successor arrangements by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 31, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Rivian complete its planned Georgia EV plant groundbreaking-to-production milestone (first vehicle off the line) by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 31, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Bid Package Reorg & Multi-Trade Bid Assembly Sidecar for Procore GCs GCs runnin
radar · logged Aug 30, 2026 · resolves by Feb 26, 2027
Will Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings' pending merger close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 30, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026
Will Intel begin construction on its Ohio One chip fab campus milestone (first phase completion target) by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 30, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the NRC complete its safety evaluation for X-energy's Xe-100 SMR construction permit (Long Mott Energy/Dow Texas site) by November 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 30, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Holtec Nuclear Corporation complete its Nasdaq IPO (ticker HNUC) by February 15, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 30, 2026 · resolves by Feb 23, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Structural/Compliance Report Write-Up Service for Freelance Inspection Contracto
radar · logged Aug 29, 2026 · resolves by Feb 25, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve INOVIO's INO-3107 BLA for recurrent respiratory papillomatosis by its October 30, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Aug 29, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA decide on Capricor's Deramiocel BLA for Duchenne muscular dystrophy by its extended November 22, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Aug 29, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will S&P Global's acquisition of a majority stake in Agusto & Co. close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 29, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will S&P Global's acquisition of datacenterHawk close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 29, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027
Will Andersen Group close all its announced Q4 2026 acquisitions (Mexico tax/legal firm, UK tax firm, six US consulting firms) by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 28, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Will Joule Capital Partners' Millard County, Utah data center campus begin delivering power by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 28, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Samsung Heavy Industries deliver its first factory-built floating data center unit in Texas by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 28, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Word/Google Docs Report Migration Sprint for Independent Inspectors Independent
radar · logged Aug 27, 2026 · resolves by Feb 23, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Vantage Data Centers' first building at the Frontier campus (Stargate, Texas) go live by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 27, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will construction break ground on OpenAI's 8-gigawatt data center at the PORTS-Pike Technology Campus in Ohio by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 27, 2026 · resolves by Jul 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will PACS Group close its acquisition of the remaining 14 Eduro Healthcare skilled nursing facilities by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 27, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve Bristol Myers Squibb's mavacamten (Camzyos) sNDA for adolescent oHCM by its September 30, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Aug 27, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Budget Report Software for New Home Inspectors
radar · logged Aug 26, 2026 · resolves by Feb 22, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Deutsche Telekom's Fiberhost/Inea acquisition receive Polish competition authority approval by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 26, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Will Netflix's acquisition of Warner Bros. (post Discovery spin-off) close by June 30, 2027, if Paramount's superior bid for WBD fails?
benchmark · logged Aug 26, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027
Will ACCO Brands' $57M acquisition of Trust close by October 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 26, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Nasdaq's acquisition of LeveL Markets close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 26, 2026 · resolves by Jun 30, 2027
AppFolio Data-Entry Offload for PMs
radar · logged Aug 25, 2026 · resolves by Feb 21, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Deutsche Telekom's acquisition of Fiberhost and Inea from Macquarie close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 25, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will TPG Mortgage Investment Trust's acquisition of Cherry Hill Mortgage close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 25, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Marex Group's acquisition of Brainchild Capital Investments close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 25, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Ryman Hospitality Properties' $1.38B acquisition of Grande Lakes Orlando Resort close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 25, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Owner Check Deposit Fix Sidecar for AppFolio PMs
radar · logged Aug 24, 2026 · resolves by Feb 20, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Air Industries Group's merger with Tenax Aerospace close by November 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 24, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026 · 2 evidence items
Will CRH's $150/share acquisition of Arcosa close by April 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 24, 2026 · resolves by Apr 30, 2027
Will Check-Cap's merger with MBody AI Corp close by October 15, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 24, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Two Harbors Investment Corp's merger with CrossCountry Mortgage close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 24, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
AppFolio Cancellation Dispute Audit Service
radar · logged Aug 23, 2026 · resolves by Feb 19, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Brookfield and NextEra Energy break ground on their planned AI data center campus at the former DOE site in Kentucky by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 23, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will New York's newly enacted moratorium on permits for large data centers remain in effect through December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 23, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027
Will SoundHound AI's acquisition of LivePerson close by October 15, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 23, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Kimberly-Clark's acquisition of Kenvue close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 23, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
COI Compliance Intake Tool for Contractors
radar · logged Aug 22, 2026 · resolves by Feb 18, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve IntraBio's levacetylleucine (Aqneursa) sNDA for ataxia-telangiectasia by its September 19, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Aug 22, 2026 · resolves by Oct 10, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will OpenAI's Project Camellia data center campus in Effingham County, Georgia achieve initial power delivery by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 22, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Certified Payroll Data Assembly Assistant for Contractors
radar · logged Aug 21, 2026 · resolves by Feb 17, 2027
Will US data center construction starts spending for full-year 2026 exceed $150 billion?
benchmark · logged Aug 21, 2026 · resolves by Feb 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Fincantieri complete its acquisitions of Next Geosolutions, WSense, Graal Tech, and Defcomm by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 21, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Will the FDA make a decision on Praxis Precision Medicines' relutrigine NDA by its extended December 27, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Aug 21, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve Ionis' zilganersen for Alexander disease by its September 22, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Aug 21, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Subcontractor COI Compliance Tracker for GCs
radar · logged Aug 20, 2026 · resolves by Feb 16, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Somnigroup International's ~$2.5B acquisition of Leggett & Platt close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 20, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Damac Digital have at least 8 of its newly broken-ground data center sites operational by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 20, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Market-Rate Cost Correction Layer for Xactimate Pricing Gaps Capterra reviewers
radar · logged Aug 19, 2026 · resolves by Feb 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Grant Thornton Advisors' $5B acquisition of CBIZ close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 19, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Publicis Groupe's $2.5B acquisition of LiveRamp close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 19, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Dispute-Proofing Narrative Add-On for Xactimate
radar · logged Aug 2, 2026 · resolves by Jan 29, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Element Solutions' merger with Solstice close by June 30, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 2, 2026 · resolves by Jul 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Salesforce's ~$3.6B acquisition of Fin (formerly Intercom) close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Aug 2, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Leonardo DRS's $450M acquisition of Raft close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 2, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Xactimate Estimate Build Service for Restoration Contractors
radar · logged Aug 1, 2026 · resolves by Jan 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will KKR's Helix Digital Infrastructure break ground on its first hyperscale data center project by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 1, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will PHINIA's acquisition of the stoba Group close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 1, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Electronic Arts' ~$55B take-private deal with the PIF-led consortium close by August 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Aug 1, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
EA's official press release confirms the deal closed on August 4, 2026, well before the August 31, 2026 deadline. Per EA's own site: "REDWOOD CITY, Calif. – August 4, 2026 – Electronic Arts Inc. ('EA' or 'Electronic Arts'), a global leader in interactive entertainment, today announced that its acquisition by PIF, Silver Lake, and Affinity Partners... " had completed. Shareholders received $210/share in cash, EA stock was delisted from Nasdaq, and ownership settled at PIF 93.4%, Silver Lake 5.5%, Affinity Partners 1.1%. This was corroborated by numerous independent outlets (Variety, Engadget, Yahoo Finance/CNBC, Quartz, Las Vegas Sun, etc.). source
AIA Billing Double-Entry Eliminator for Commercial Buildertrend Users Commercia
radar · logged Jul 31, 2026 · resolves by Jan 27, 2027
Will Prologis succeed in acquiring SEGRO by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 31, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Northrim BanCorp's acquisition of PBCO Financial Corporation close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Jul 31, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Morgan Stanley Infrastructure Partners' acquisition of Epic Energy close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Jul 31, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027
Buildertrend Estimate-to-Proposal Sync Bridge
radar · logged Jul 30, 2026 · resolves by Jan 26, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Meta begin deploying AMD Instinct MI450-based Helios rack-scale servers under the $100B AI supply deal by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 30, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Microsoft break ground on all 15 newly approved data centers at the former Foxconn site in Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 30, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will EQT's combination with Coller Capital close by November 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 30, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Freelance Takeoff-Handoff Structuring Service for GCs Outsourcing to Upwork GCs
radar · logged Jul 29, 2026 · resolves by Jan 25, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve the MR-100A-01 low-dose estrogen contraceptive patch by its July 30, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 29, 2026 · resolves by Aug 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
The FDA approved MR-100A-01 (norelgestromin and ethinyl estradiol transdermal system), under the brand name Gwyn Lo, on July 29, 2026 — one day ahead of the July 30, 2026 PDUFA target action date. Viatris announced the approval via press release, and multiple outlets (Contemporary OB/GYN, Healio, PharmExec) confirmed FDA approval of the once-weekly low-dose estrogen combined hormonal contraceptive patch for women with BMI below 30 kg/m². The pdufa.bio calendar also lists VTRS 2026-07-30 as "Approved: MR-100A-01. source
Will TPG's acquisition of Learfield close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 29, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Thoroughness-Report Tool for Home Inspectors
radar · logged Jul 28, 2026 · resolves by Jan 24, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will OCS Group's $4.17B acquisition of Mitie close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Jul 28, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Var Energi's $1.3B acquisition of BlueNord close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Jul 28, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Zymeworks' acquisition of Theravance Biopharma close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 28, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Field-Capture-to-Report Pipeline for Home Inspectors
radar · logged Jul 27, 2026 · resolves by Jan 23, 2027
Will Iberdrola's $2.3B acquisition of Finnish utility Caruna close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Jul 27, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Tempus AI's $1.5B acquisition of Personalis close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 27, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Adobe's acquisition of Topaz Labs close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 27, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Repligen's acquisition of BioLife Solutions close by January 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Jul 27, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Defensible Narrative Report Assembler for Independent Home Inspectors Independe
radar · logged Jul 26, 2026 · resolves by Jan 22, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will UniFirst's merger with Cintas close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 26, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Boundless Bio and Serapha Bio complete their announced merger by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 26, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will ExlService Holdings' acquisition of iMerit close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 26, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Manual-Workaround Audit for PM Software Stacks
radar · logged Jul 25, 2026 · resolves by Jan 21, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Banco Santander's $12.3B acquisition of Webster Financial close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 25, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will French regulators approve the carve-up of SFR's assets between Bouygues, Iliad, and Orange by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 25, 2026 · resolves by Feb 1, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Paramount Skydance's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 25, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will ResMed's sale of its MatrixCare software business to Frazier Healthcare Partners close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 25, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
AppFolio Document Intake Assistant for Property Managers
radar · logged Jul 24, 2026 · resolves by Jan 20, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve Capricor Therapeutics' Deramiocel for Duchenne muscular dystrophy by its August 22, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 24, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
The FDA did not approve Deramiocel by the August 22, 2026 PDUFA date. On August 24, 2026, Capricor announced via SEC 8-K filing that the FDA extended the PDUFA target action date from August 22, 2026 to November 22, 2026, after classifying Capricor's submission (which included 24-month HOPE-3 open-label extension data and a request to review a refined indication focused on upper limb function) as a major amendment. This came after a July 29, 2026 FDA Advisory Committee meeting where the committee voted that available evidence did not support the effectiveness of Deramiocel for DMD cardiomyopathy. No approval or new CRL was issued by the original PDUFA date; instead the decision was delayed, which per the recipe resolves as FALSE. source
Will the Black Hills Corporation–NorthWestern Energy merger (forming Bright Horizon Energy) close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 24, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will American Industrial Partners' acquisition of Avanos Medical close by August 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 24, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Avanos Medical's own investor relations site, SEC 8-K filing, and multiple news outlets confirm that American Industrial Partners completed its acquisition of Avanos Medical on July 27, 2026 — well ahead of the August 31, 2026 deadline. The 8-K states: "Avanos Medical, Inc. completed its sale to affiliates of American Industrial Partners on July 27, 2026," with each share converted into the right to receive $25.00 in cash, and Avanos becoming a privately held subsidiary. source
Will Blackstone Infrastructure Partners' acquisition of TXNM Energy close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 24, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Reconciliation Escalation Packet Builder for AppFolio Accounting Failures AppFo
radar · logged Jul 23, 2026 · resolves by Jan 19, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the KKR-led consortium's ~$5.3B acquisition of Steadfast Group close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 23, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will First Hawaiian's acquisition of TriCo Bancshares close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 23, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Hapag-Lloyd's $4.2B acquisition of ZIM Integrated Shipping close by March 31, 2027?
benchmark · logged Jul 23, 2026 · resolves by Mar 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will NextCure and Avere Therapeutics complete their announced merger by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 23, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
ServiceTitan Inventory Reconciliation Sidecar
radar · logged Jul 22, 2026 · resolves by Jan 18, 2027
Will construction begin on the first GE Vernova Hitachi BWRX-300 SMR under the $40B U.S.-Japan energy partnership (Tennessee/Alabama) by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 22, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the NRC approve Holtec's Limited Work Authorization request for the SMR-300 dual-unit plant at Palisades Energy Center by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 22, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will DOE finalize a funding agreement with Holtec for its SMR-300 project at Palisades, Michigan by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 22, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Lightweight Dispatch Scheduling Tool for Field-Service SMBs
radar · logged Jul 21, 2026 · resolves by Jan 17, 2027
Will Clear Channel Outdoor's take-private merger with Mubadala Capital/TWG Global close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 21, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Human-in-Loop Dispatch Assist for Trucking
radar · logged Jul 20, 2026 · resolves by Jan 16, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will SoftBank break ground on its first French AI data center site (Dunkirk, Bosquel, or Bouchain) by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 20, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will a Wisconsin court rule on Oracle's challenge to the state's hyperscale data center financial security rule by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 20, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Stark Power complete its acquisition of Sagebrush Infrastructure Partners by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 20, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Certified Payroll / Davis-Bacon Compliance Drafting Assistant Contractors doing
radar · logged Jul 19, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Trump Media & TAE Technologies close their merger by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 19, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will AWS break ground on its $50B GovCloud/Top Secret AI infrastructure expansion by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 19, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Praxis Precision Medicines' ulixacaltamide (essential tremor) receive an FDA decision by its January 29, 2027 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 19, 2026 · resolves by Feb 28, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Hassan Allam Digital Infrastructure break ground on its first Egyptian hyperscale data center by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 19, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Human-in-Loop OSHA Site Safety Plan & Program Assembler General contractors and
radar · logged Jul 18, 2026 · resolves by Jan 14, 2027
Will the FDA approve iberdomide (IberDd combination) for relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma by its August 17, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 18, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
FDA's official drug approval page confirms: "On August 13, 2026, the Food and Drug Administration granted accelerated approval to iberdomide (Zenbexus, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) in combination with daratumumab and hyaluronidase-fihj and dexamethasone for adults with multiple myeloma who have received at least one prior line of therapy including a proteasome inhibitor and an immunomodulatory agent." This was ahead of the August 17, 2026 PDUFA date. Confirmed by multiple independent sources including myeloma.org, CancerNetwork, Pharmacy Times, Targeted Oncology, and STAT News. source
Will the EGH/Hecate Energy $1.2B SPAC combination close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 18, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve Moderna's mRNA-1010 seasonal flu vaccine for adults 50+ by its August 5, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 18, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Multiple independent sources confirm the FDA approved mRNA-1010 (mFLUSIVA) exactly on the August 5, 2026 PDUFA date. Healthcare Dive reported the FDA approved mFlusiva "for use against seasonal influenza in all adults at least 50 years of age" on Aug. 5, 2026, with full approval for ages 50-64 and accelerated approval (pending postmarketing confirmatory study) for ages 65+. Pharmacy Times, Drug Topics, US Pharmacist, and Moderna's own press release (via drugs.com) all corroborate the approval on this date. source
Will the FDA approve the bictegravir/lenacapavir single-tablet HIV combination regimen by its August 27, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 18, 2026 · resolves by Sep 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Gilead's official press release (dated August 27, 2026) and investor relations page confirm FDA approved Bixlenvo (bictegravir 75mg/lenacapavir 50mg) on its PDUFA date. Corroborated by drugs.com FDA Approval History ("First approved August 27, 2026"), Wikipedia, and multiple news outlets (Benzinga, Pharmacy Times, Contagion Live, CHIPTS). source
ISO 45001 Documentation Drafting Aid for Contractors
radar · logged Jul 17, 2026 · resolves by Jan 13, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Vertex Pharmaceuticals' $10B acquisition of Crinetics Pharmaceuticals close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 17, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Altaris' $375M acquisition of Simulations Plus close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 17, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Lockheed Martin's $3.45B acquisition of Ultra Maritime Solutions close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 17, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Telefonica Brasil (Vivo) complete its merger with FiBrasil effective August 1, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 17, 2026 · resolves by Aug 31, 2026
Telefônica Brasil filed a 6-K Material Fact confirming: "the merger by the Company of Fibrasil Infraestrutura e Fibra Ótica S.A. ... its wholly-owned subsidiary ... was approved at the Extraordinary Shareholders' Meeting held on this date, effective as of August 1, 2026, upon which Fibrasil shall be dissolved and the Company will succeed to all of its rights and obligations." This was corroborated by Brazilian press (TELETIME, InfoMoney, Telecompaper) confirming shareholders approved the merger at the July 31, 2026 EGM and it took effect August 1, 2026, with FiBrasil formally dissolved. source
Supplement-Ready Documentation Packager for Restoration Contractors
radar · logged Jul 16, 2026 · resolves by Jan 12, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Payoneer shareholders vote to approve the Nuvei acquisition by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 16, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Nigeria's Kasi Cloud data center model expand or will Kenya's suspended $1B Microsoft data center resume construction by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 16, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Intel launch its Crescent Island AI data center GPU by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 16, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Human-in-Loop Xactimate Estimate Assembly Assistant for Restoration Contractors
radar · logged Jul 15, 2026 · resolves by Jan 11, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Somnigroup's all-stock acquisition of Leggett & Platt close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 15, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will KORE Group Holdings' ~$726M acquisition by Searchlight/Abry close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 15, 2026 · resolves by Sep 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
KORE Group Holdings filed an 8-K confirming that on July 21, 2026, it completed the merger transactions contemplated by the Agreement and Plan of Merger with KONA Parent, L.P. (Searchlight Capital Partners/Abry Partners affiliate). The filing states: "On July 21, 2026, KORE Group Holdings, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the 'Company'), completed the transactions contemplated by the Agreement and Plan of Merger... by and among the Company, KONA Parent L.P... and Abry Partners... and KONA Merger Sub Co." Additionally, the company notified NYSE prior to trading on July 21, 2026 that the merger had been completed and requested suspension of trading of KORE common stock. Each share was converted into the right to receive $9.25 cash. This closing occurred well before the September 30, 2026 deadline, satisfying the recipe's TRUE condition. source
Will the FDA approve Praxis Precision Medicines' relutrigine (SCN2A/SCN8A DEEs) by its December 27, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 15, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Isabella Bank Corporation's acquisition of Grand River Commerce close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 15, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
AI Report-Drafting Assistant for Home Inspectors
radar · logged Jul 14, 2026 · resolves by Jan 10, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Equifax's acquisition of Círculo de Crédito close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 14, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Olin Corporation's $4.27B acquisition of Huntsman Corporation close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 14, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Kroger's acquisition of Giant Eagle close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 14, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Novartis' acquisition of Myricx Bio close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 14, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Fire Alarm SLD & NFPA Documentation Drafting Aid
radar · logged Jul 13, 2026 · resolves by Jan 9, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Equity Residential's $34.91B all-stock acquisition of AvalonBay Communities close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 13, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will GSK's $10.6B acquisition of Nuvalent close by October 15, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 13, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Caesars Entertainment's $17.6B acquisition by Fertitta Entertainment close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 13, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Fox Corporation's $22B acquisition of Roku close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 13, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Human-in-Loop Compliance Letter & Correction Doc Assembler Freelance PE-adjacen
radar · logged Jul 12, 2026 · resolves by Jan 8, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Nigeria's NUPRC launch the 2026 oil licensing round by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 12, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will DOE execute final financing documents for its $17.5 billion conditional nuclear reactor component loan by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 12, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will DOE announce award recipients for the SPARK transmission modernization program by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 12, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the U.S. Army's leased critical minerals processing facility at Anniston Army Depot (Titan Mining graphite) begin construction by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 12, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027
Trade-Specific Estimating Assist for Electrical/MEP Subs Bridging Procore Gaps
radar · logged Jul 11, 2026 · resolves by Jan 7, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve ropeginterferon alfa-2b-njft (BESREMi) for essential thrombocythemia by its August 30, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 11, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
FDA approved BESREMi (ropeginterferon alfa-2b-njft) for essential thrombocythemia in adults, announced August 31, 2026 (one day after the August 30, 2026 PDUFA date), per both FDA.gov and PharmaEssentia's official press release. This makes BESREMi the first new FDA-approved treatment for ET in nearly three decades, based on Phase 3 SURPASS-ET trial data. source
Will Union Pacific terminate its proposed merger with Norfolk Southern by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 11, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Procore Bid-Leveling & Reporting Bolt-On
radar · logged Jul 10, 2026 · resolves by Jan 6, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the Surface Transportation Board accept the Union Pacific-Norfolk Southern merger application as complete following the July 27, 2026 supplemental information deadline?
benchmark · logged Jul 10, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve BioArctic/Eisai's Leqembi Iqlik (lecanemab-irmb) subcutaneous auto-injector by its August 24, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 10, 2026 · resolves by Sep 20, 2026 · 3 evidence items
FDA approved the Leqembi Iqlik sBLA (subcutaneous initiation dose) on July 13, 2026, well ahead of the August 24, 2026 PDUFA date. Confirmed via Eisai, Biogen, BioArctic press releases and FDA.gov news release "FDA Approves First At-home Starting Dose for Alzheimer's Disease Treatment. source
Will Merck KGaA's acquisition of Bio-Techne's life science business close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 10, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Estimating-Assist Service Undercutting Upwork Estimators
radar · logged Jul 9, 2026 · resolves by Jan 5, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Charter's $34.5B acquisition of Cox Communications close by September 15, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 9, 2026 · resolves by Sep 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Charter Communications' official newsroom press release confirms: "Charter Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHTR)... today announced that it has completed its previously announced transaction with Cox Communications ('Cox') and the acquisition of Liberty Broadband Corporation" dated August 20, 2026. Multiple news outlets (Deadline, Variety, TheWrap, The Desk, Fierce Network, Broadband Breakfast) corroborate the deal closed on Thursday, August 20, 2026, after CPUC approval cleared the final regulatory hurdle - well ahead of the September 15, 2026 HSR expiration deadline. source
Will Lotus Technology's acquisition of Lotus UK close in 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 9, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve Nuvalent's zidesamtinib for ROS1-positive NSCLC by its September 18, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 9, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA make a decision on the investigational contraceptive weekly patch (MR-100A-01) by its July 30, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 9, 2026 · resolves by Aug 20, 2026 · 3 evidence items
The FDA approved MR-100A-01 (norelgestromin/ethinyl estradiol transdermal system), branded as Gwyn Lo, on July 29, 2026 — one day before the July 30, 2026 PDUFA target action date. Multiple sources confirm: Contemporary OB/GYN reported "On July 29, 2026, the FDA approved norelgestromin and ethinyl estradiol transdermal system (Gwyn Lo; Viatris Inc.) as a once-weekly combined hormonal contraceptive (CHC) patch." Healio and Drugs.com also confirm the July 29, 2026 approval date, and Viatris issued a press release titled "Viatris Receives U.S. FDA Approval for Gwyn Lo™, a Once-Weekly Contraceptive Patch. source
Document & Lease Lifecycle Assistant for AppFolio-Using PM Companies Property m
radar · logged Jul 8, 2026 · resolves by Jan 4, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Inseego's acquisition of Nokia's Fixed Wireless Access business close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 8, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Qualcomm's acquisition of Modular close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 8, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA approve zanidatamab (Ziihera) for first-line HER2+ gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma by its August 25, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 8, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
On August 25, 2026 (the PDUFA date), the FDA approved Ziihera (zanidatamab-hrii)-containing regimens for first-line treatment of HER2-positive gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma. This was confirmed by FDA.gov's official drug approval page, Jazz Pharmaceuticals' press release/8-K filing, and Zymeworks' press release. The FDA approved two regimens: zanidatamab plus tislelizumab plus chemotherapy (IHC 3+ and IHC 2+/ISH+), and zanidatamab plus chemotherapy alone (IHC 3+). source
Will TransAlta's acquisition of two Denver-area natural gas peaking facilities close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 8, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
AppFolio Missing-Features Gap-Filler: Custom Reporting Layer G2 reviews show 14
radar · logged Jul 7, 2026 · resolves by Jan 3, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will EQT's $3.2B combination with Coller Capital close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 7, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Baker Hughes' acquisition of Chart Industries close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 7, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will McCormick's $44.8B acquisition of Unilever's foods business close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 7, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Reconciliation Watchdog for AppFolio Sync Failures
radar · logged Jul 6, 2026 · resolves by Jan 2, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will SpaceX's $60B acquisition of Anysphere (Cursor) close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 6, 2026 · resolves by Oct 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will UK Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy issue a formal intervention notice on the Paramount-WBD merger by July 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 6, 2026 · resolves by Aug 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
As of late July 2026, Nandy had not issued a formal intervention notice. UK Parliament went into summer recess without an update, and Deadline reported (citing sources) that "Nandy, who has already said she is 'minded to intervene,' will not deliver her decision until September 1 at the earliest" since government updates on this quasi-judicial process must first go to Parliament, which returns from recess Sept 1. Thus by July 31, 2026, no formal intervention notice had been issued, and no decision had been made either way. source
Will the Antora Energy thermal storage facility in Big Stone City, South Dakota be fully online by October 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 6, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026 · 2 evidence items
Reactive-to-Planned Maintenance Triage Assistant for Property Management Work Or
radar · logged Jul 5, 2026 · resolves by Jan 1, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the Ninth Circuit rule on Nexstar's appeal of the Tegna merger injunction by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 5, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will the FDA make a decision on rivoceranib plus camrelizumab for hepatocellular carcinoma by its July 23, 2026 PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 5, 2026 · resolves by Aug 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
FDA issued a Complete Response Letter (CRL) on July 10, 2026 — ahead of the July 23, 2026 PDUFA date — for the rivoceranib/camrelizumab combination NDA/BLA for first-line unresectable/metastatic HCC. Per Elevar Therapeutics' press release (elevartx.com/2026/07/10/elevar-crl-july-2/ and GlobeNewswire), the CRL was related to deficiencies identified during a cGMP inspection of a manufacturing site listed on the Rivoceranib NDA. This constitutes a formal FDA decision issued well within the August 15, 2026 recipe deadline. source
Will the Bitcoin Standard Treasury (BSTR) - Cantor Equity Partners I SPAC merger close by July 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 5, 2026 · resolves by Aug 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
On July 8, 2026, BSTR CEO Adam Back announced the cancellation of the original SPAC business combination agreement with Cantor Equity Partners I. Per KuCoin and CryptoBriefing reporting: "The Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company has canceled its planned business combination with Cantor Equity Partners I" and "the CEPO shareholder meeting has been postponed indefinitely, and the private placements tied to the original deal will not proceed." Both parties indicated they were negotiating a restructured deal with different terms, but as of the July 31, 2026 deadline, no merger had closed and BSTR shares had not begun trading on Nasdaq under this agreement. Therefore the merger did not close by July 31, 2026 (in fact it was terminated). source
Storm Radius: storm-footprint reactivation of a roofer's own book (BLDG Capture extension)
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Jul 4, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Automated cost-to-complete / claims exposure re-forecast
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Vetted two-sided sub-matching / bench service
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
AI-drafted cited delay-claim notice generator
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Live buyout call to signed contract exhibit
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Landscaping plant substitution & warranty tracker
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Glazing field measurement to order variance log
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Steel shop drawing & RFI status tracker
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Excavation haul/disposal ticket reconciliation
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Fire protection NFPA-formatted report generator
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Flooring material order reconciliation
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Masonry cold-weather pour condition log
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Roofing warranty & inspection documentation assembler
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Painting certified payroll auto-formatter
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Drywall photo-to-punch-list tool
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Electrical submittal package auto-builder
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
GC RFI/submittal auto-tracker (no-APM GC)
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Framing change order ticket generator
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Concrete pour log + cylinder break test tracker
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
HVAC equipment submittal + O&M manual assembler
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Plumbing material lead-time / expediting tracker
inner · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Vendor COI Compliance Tracker for Property Managers
radar · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Will Danone's Fort Worth yogurt production facility expansion be completed by October 1, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Nov 1, 2026
Will SpaceX successfully launch Starship Flight 13 by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Sep 30, 2026
Starship Flight 13 lifted off on July 24, 2026 at 22:51 UTC from Pad 2 at Starbase (after scrubbed attempts on July 16 and July 23). SpaceX's official launches page confirms: "On Friday, July 24, 2026, at 5:51 p.m. CT, Starship lifted off from Starbase, Texas on its thirteenth flight test." Wikipedia's List of Starship launches also confirms 13 total launches as of July 24, 2026. This is well before the September 30, 2026 deadline. source
Will the Buchanan Street Overpass (I-41 Expansion Project, Wisconsin) open to traffic by August 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026
WisDOT's official I-41 project website confirms the overpass reopened. The homepage states: "The Buchanan Street overpass is now open to traffic!" (i41project.wisconsindot.gov). The construction page notes: "The Buchanan Street overpass was reopened to traffic in summer 2026 after reconstruction was completed." Additionally, a WBAY news article dated Aug 3, 2026 confirms the closure ran "from March 9 through July 30, 2026" and "The overpass was scheduled to open July 30" — consistent with reopening before Aug 31, 2026. 511wi.gov weekly updates for Aug 31-Sept 4 also reference finishing touches (pavement markings, staining) at the already-reopened overpass, not the reopening itself, confirming it was open before that window. source
Benchmarking & Filing Confirmation Tracker for LL84/FISP-style Regulatory Deadli
radar · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Bid-Ready Structured Procurement Formatter for Contractor RFPs Government and e
radar · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Rotating-chef regional hot sauce subscription box
public · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Rare houseplant subscription box for collectors
public · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Cost-guardrail bolt-on for contractor AI agents
radar · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Will DigitalBridge's acquisition by SoftBank close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Will Kimberly-Clark's acquisition of Kenvue close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Will Lotus Technology's acquisition of Lotus UK close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026
Self-Compacting Context Layer Retrofit for Agent Costs
radar · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Tesla's Optimus Gen 3 production line at Fremont reach active production output by August 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Multiple reputable financial outlets (The Motley Fool, syndicated to The Globe and Mail, and BigGo Finance) reported on/around August 27, 2026 that "Optimus production has started at Fremont, marking a significant milestone." This followed the July 22, 2026 Q2 earnings call where Tesla had only said Optimus lines were "being installed" with production "anticipated later this year" (no firm date). By late August, before the August 31 deadline, Tesla confirmed actual production (not just testing) had begun on the converted Fremont line, consistent with Musk's April 2026 guidance of late July/August start, albeit with an explicitly slow initial ramp per Musk's "flat and long" S-curve framing. source
Will Texas Instruments' new $11B Lehi, Utah semiconductor fab begin production in 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Boston Scientific's $14.5B acquisition of Penumbra close by December 31, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Jan 31, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Production-Readiness Audit for Contractor-Facing Agent Tools Enterprise CIOs no
radar · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the Warner Bros. Discovery / Paramount Skydance merger close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Avanos Medical's acquisition by American Industrial Partners close by July 27, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Aug 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Press release confirms closing: "NEW YORK and ALPHARETTA, Ga., July 27, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- American Industrial Partners ("AIP")... today announced the closing of the acquisition of Avanos Medical, Inc." The deal closed on July 27, 2026, at $25.00/share in cash (~$1.272B transaction), with Avanos becoming a private company and delisting from NYSE. This is corroborated by multiple sources including PRNewswire, StockTitan, and The Globe and Mail. source
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 release on November 19, 2026 without a further delay?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Nov 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
GoHighLevel voice-chatbot reseller for local biz sites
public · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Compute-Cost Triage for Human-in-Loop Agent Workflows Builder communities are c
radar · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will Samsung's Taylor, Texas semiconductor fab open in 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Jan 15, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Will Apple announce an iPhone Fold at its September 2026 event?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Nov 1, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the UK FCA motor finance redress scheme tribunal issue its ruling by November 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 15, 2026
A scheduling tool for HVAC contractors that auto-sequences same-day service call
public · logged Jul 4, 2026 · resolves by Dec 31, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Agent Audit Trail & Governance Log for Contractor Estimating/Proposal AI Contra
radar · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Dec 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Will the $55B PIF/Silver Lake/Affinity Partners buyout of Electronic Arts close by September 30, 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Oct 15, 2026
Will the FDA approve gedatolisib (Celcuity) by its PDUFA date?
benchmark · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Aug 15, 2026 · 3 evidence items
The FDA's official approvals page confirms: "On July 14, 2026, the Food and Drug Administration approved gedatolisib (Revtorpyk, Celcuity Inc.) in combination with fulvestrant, with or without palbociclib, for adults with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer." This was three days before the July 17, 2026 PDUFA date, and Celcuity's own investor press release (July 14, 2026) confirms full FDA approval of REVTORPYK (gedatolisib). Both FDA.gov and Celcuity IR corroborate the approval occurred before the PDUFA date, well within the July 31, 2026 resolution window. source
Will US federal banking agencies finalize GENIUS Act stablecoin rules by the July 18, 2026 deadline?
benchmark · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Aug 15, 2026
Multiple reputable sources confirm federal banking agencies missed the July 18, 2026 deadline. The Block reported that the Treasury Department and four primary federal stablecoin regulators reached the GENIUS Act's July 18 rulemaking deadline without a final set of implementing regulations, with comments on a joint customer identification rule remaining open until Aug. 21 and an FDIC anti-money laundering proposal open until Aug. 4. Crowdfund Insider similarly confirmed that federal banking and financial regulators have allowed the statutory one-year period for completing implementing regulations to lapse without delivering finalized rules. Only proposed rules (NPRMs) from OCC, FDIC, NCUA, Treasury, FinCEN, and OFAC existed; the Federal Reserve had not even published its own primary framework. The law's effective date remains Jan 18, 2027 (or 120 days after final rules), unaffected by the missed rulemaking deadline. source
Will the FDA approve Moderna's mRNA-1010 seasonal flu vaccine by early August 2026?
benchmark · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Sep 15, 2026
On August 5, 2026, Moderna announced the FDA approved mFLUSIVA (mRNA-1010) for use in all adults 50 years of age and older, making it the first mRNA-based seasonal influenza vaccine licensed in the US. This is confirmed by multiple sources including Moderna's own SEC 10-Q filing, which notes the FDA assigned a PDUFA goal date of August 5, 2026 following a unanimous VRBPAC recommendation in June 2026, and subsequent press coverage (Goodwin Law, PharmExec, Drugs.com, Patient Care Online) confirming the approval occurred on that date - well before the August 31, 2026 deadline in the recipe. source
Operational Memory Layer for BLDG's Agent Stack
radar · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Dec 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Structured-Format Intake Fixer for Contractor RFPs/Bid Packages Procurement/RFP
radar · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Dec 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
Public AI idea-scoring tool with paid Dossier
inner · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Dec 30, 2026 · 3 evidence items
GC/Sub matchmaking network (BuildingConnected competitor)
inner · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Dec 30, 2026 · 6 evidence items
Change-order capture (single-player)
inner · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Jul 3, 2027 · 3 evidence items
GC-sub change-order exchange
inner · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Jul 3, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Change-order capture (demand validation)
inner · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Jul 3, 2027 · 3 evidence items
Contractor AI receptionist (KILLED)
inner · logged Jul 3, 2026 · resolves by Jul 3, 2027 · 3 evidence items
VANTAGE-6 is the prediction instrument BLDG LABS uses on its own ideas before committing to them. Predictions are scored by an ensemble of independent model runs, frozen into an append-only database, monitored daily for new evidence, and graded against pre-registered resolution criteria when their date comes due.